April Poll Looks at How COVID-19 has Impacted Voter Attitudes

April 30, 2020

By Ann Camann

April Poll by Saint Anselm College Survey Center Finds Leadership during Crisis will play an Important Role in Fall Voting

  •  82% of voters say that leadership during this crisis will be an important factor in determining their votes this fall;
  • Governor Chris Sununu is earning deep bipartisan support for his leadership, with 86% of voters approving of his handling of the crisis;
  • President Donald Trump’s leadership gets low marks from 58% of voters versus 42% approval;
  • Senator Jeanne Shaheen (55%/42% favorability) remains the most popular member of the delegation as she begins her re-election effort, followed by Senator Maggie Hassan (51%/43%), freshman Congressman Chris Pappas (49%/34%), and Congresswoman Annie Kuster (46%/40%)

 

The April poll by the Saint Anselm College Survey Center at the New Hampshire Institute of Politics (NHIOP) focuses on how voter attitudes have been impacted by the emergence of COVID-19, and the efforts of the Federal and New Hampshire governments to contain its spread and minimize the threat to public health.

 

The poll is based on online surveys of 820 New Hampshire registered voters expressing an interest in the fall elections for President, Governor, and Congress. Surveys were collected from cell phone users randomly drawn from a sample of registered voters reflecting the demographic and partisan characteristics of the voting population between April 23 and 27, 2020.

President Donald Trump’s leadership gets low marks from 58% of voters versus 42% approval, tacking very closely with his overall favorability (42%/58%) and job approval (43%/57%).

In an early look at the election matchup between Trump and presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden, Biden opens with a 50%-42% advantage.

New Hampshire Institute of Politics Executive Director Neil Levesque summarized the results, saying, “This poll focuses on how voter attitudes have been impacted by the emergence of COVID-19, or coronavirus, and the efforts of the Federal and New Hampshire governments to contain its spread and minimize the threat to public health.”

“In the face of an unprecedented crisis, New Hampshire’s political leadership is acting in close accord with the priorities of those they serve, and their efforts to date enjoy the support of voters,” concluded Levesque. “But more challenges lie ahead as the state begins to return to something approximating normalcy, and the fall elections are likely to be dominated by this issue.”

The survey has a margin of sampling error of +/- 3.4% with a confidence interval of 95%; the margin of sampling error for questions specific to the 1st and 2nd Congressional Districts is +/- 4.7% and +/- 5.0% respectively. Data are weighted for age, gender, geography, and education based on a voter demographic model derived from historical voting patterns, but are not weighted by party registration or party identification.

Founded in 2001, the New Hampshire Institute of Politics at Saint Anselm College provides a nonpartisan forum for discussion and debate. It seeks to develop programming, and to foster scholarship and dialogue, encompassing a diverse range of political topics, opinions and issues. The Institute serves as a resource for students, scholars, politicians, and the general public.