First Poll of the 2022 Political Cycle Finds Voter Support of Biden Carrying through from the Election

February 10, 2021

By Ann Camann

A new poll conducted by the Saint Anselm College Survey Center at the New Hampshire Institute of Politics (NHIOP) finds voters much the same as they were on Election Day 2020.  Having won New Hampshire 53%-45%, Joe Biden starts his administration with an identical job approval, and an almost identical (53%-46%) favorability among registered voters.  New Hampshire Institute of Politics Executive Director Neil Levesque summarized the results, saying “This was a hotly contested and highly polarizing race, and these results show that at the dawn of the Biden era, voters aren’t moving an inch as of yet.”

The Center’s first poll of the 2022 political cycle also looked at the New Hampshire Gubernatorial and Congressional Delegation job approval as well as voter trust of the news media. 
 

NH Congressional Delegation Approval:
Despite voter support for Biden carrying through from the election, support for the Congressional delegation has waned somewhat, with Senator Jeanne Shaheen’s job approval softening by a couple points since our last poll to 54%-38%; Senator Maggie Hassan’s following suit to 49%-40%; Congressman Chris Pappas’ dropping 5 points to 43%-38%; and Congresswoman Annie Kuster’s also dropping 5 points to 46%-40%. 

In the Center’s first ever look at Hassan’s electability, while 39% of voters believe she deserves re-election, 47% think that it’s time to give someone new a chance.  This “soft re-election” question understates an incumbent’s strength somewhat, and 39% should be seen as Hassan’s absolute floor of re-election support. 
 

Other Findings:
Voters were asked about their trust in the news media as a fair referee in determining what constitutes misinformation.  Distrust of the media is virtually universal (98%) among Republicans and is universal among the very conservative.  But trust is also weak among Democrats (51%) and liberals (46%), suggesting that the media’s credibility problem is beginning to transcend party and ideology. 

Levesque added, “A healthy democracy depends on voters that have access to credible objective information to help manage and resolve political disputes; this poll suggests that we may be on the verge of losing that, if we haven’t already.”
 

Full Results (PDF/541 KB)
 

Results are from the Saint Anselm College Survey Center poll based on online surveys of 867 New Hampshire registered voters. Surveys were collected between February 4th and 6th, 2021, from cell phone users randomly drawn from a sample of registered voters reflecting the demographic and partisan characteristics of the voting population. Names were presented in random order for each of the political leader series (e.g. job approval).

The survey has an overall margin of sampling error of +/- 3.3% with a confidence interval of 95%; the margin of sampling error for questions specific to congressional districts are 4.7% for each district. The data are weighted for age, gender, geography, and education based on a voter demographic model derived from historical voting patterns, but are not weighted by party registration or party identification.

Founded in 2001, the New Hampshire Institute of Politics at Saint Anselm College provides a nonpartisan forum for discussion and debate. It seeks to develop programming, and to foster scholarship and dialogue, encompassing a diverse range of political topics, opinions and issues. The Institute serves as a resource for students, scholars, politicians, and the general public.